India TV conducted a on-camera pre-election survey recently and released the results recently. This survey puts NDA in a slight lead over UPA. This survey considers Bihar parties RJD and LJP to not be part of the Congress lead UPA.According to the survey, NDA is predicted to get 187 seats, while the UPA is expected to bag 178 seats. The BJP with 144 seats might end up as the single largest party over it’s rival the Congress which is predicted to win in 133 constituencies. BJP may also be able to add 43 more seats from existing allies, taking the NDA tally to 187.
- Pre-election survey, India TV, Apr 6 2009
The pre-poll survey also claims that if UPA can bring back its former constituents like Samajwadi Party, RJD and LJP, it will reach the figure of 235. According to the survey, Mulayam Singh Yadav’s SP is predicted to get 30 seats, while RJD/LJP would win 15 seats.
The seat breakup as predicted by the channel -
NDA 144 + 43 = 187
BJP 144 + 43 (JDU 19+SS 12+SAD 4+RLD 3+AGP 4+INLD 1)
UPA 133 + 45 = 178
Cong 133 + 45 (NC 3 +NCP 14+TMC 11+DMK 7+UDF 08+ JMM 02)
Third Front = 121
(BSP 26+TDP/TRS 14 +Left 35+ JDS 04+BJD 10+AIDMK 31 + HJC = 01)
Fourth Front 52 + 5 = 57
(SP 30 + RJD/LJP = 15 + PRP = 06 + PDP = 01 + Others 05)
This latest survey shows how imperative it is for Congress to regain it’s old allies so that the UPA has some chance of coming back to power.
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